[Leica] Re: New York hurricane

[don.dory at gmail.com (Don Dory)]

Larry,
First, the governments of New York are vastly more capable than what was in
NO.  Second, building codes actually exist and are enforced.  Third, nobody
is building below sea level so water will come and then recede instead of
staying for months.  Now, I did live in Houston when a Cat 3 blew in and the
all glass buildings did lose a lot of glass, mostly due to gravel roofs.

If the worst comes and you live two stories above ground, then stockpile
water, batteries, and food that will keep for a week or two.  If you live
within say sixty miles of the coast and are at ground level then start
buying plywood if the storm hits the Gulf with winds over 50 mph and is
picking up strength.  If you live on the coast then buy your plywood but
make plans to get out of Dodge 30-40 hours ahead of time.  Oh, and fill up
your gas tank as a whole lot of folks won't think of that until the last
minute when the power is going out and stations can't pump.

But, I think that if all goes badly and Cuba doesn't break up this storm
then it will cross Florida and possibly harass the Atlantic coastlines of
Georgia, S. Carolina, and N. Carolina.

Don
don.dory@gmail.com


On 8/27/06, Lawrence Zeitlin <lrzeitlin@optonline.net> wrote:
>
> The latest prediction of the NOAA Hurricane Center is that New
> Orleans will not feel the full brunt of hurricane Ernesto. It is
> predicted to track up Florida's west coast and will likely reach
> landfall on the Florida Panhandle. For official hurricane track
> predictions see: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/  This is the site that all
> the TV stations use to get their information.
>
> The History Channel just aired a show describing the consequences if
> a Cat. 3 hurricane hit New York. Catch it if it airs again.
>
> Although 1/3 as likely as a hurricane hitting New Orleans, the
> consequences might be far more disastrous. Ten times as many people
> would have to be evacuated, mostly through tunnels and bridges that
> would become impassable hours before the storm. Because wind velocity
> rises at altitude, a Cat. 3 storm at sea level would become a Cat. 5
> storm at the upper levels of high rise buildings, spraying the
> streets with lethal glass shards and shrapnel fragments of water
> towers and TV and microwave antennas. Lower Manhattan, Brooklyn, Long
> Island and the Jersey shoreline would flood with a 20+ foot storm
> surge. The surge would be funneled up the Hudson River and form a
> local Bay of Fundy, inundating the coastal areas of New York's
> northern suburbs.
>
> Iimprobable? It has happened before. The 1938 hurricane that hit New
> York had economic consequences exceeding 100 billion dollars - and
> that was in the days of three cent postage and nineteen cent per
> gallon gasoline. According to the historical storm record, New York
> experiences a major Cat. 3 or above hurricane every 75 years. We are
> almost due for another.
>
> Just a hint for northeast photographers. If a hurricane on a northern
> path skirts Miami, it is only a day and a half away from New York/
> Long Island. Get your equipment ready. And I hope Mayor Nagin will
> exhibit more sympathy to New Yorkers after the hurricane than he has
> exhibited for 9/11.
>
> Larry Z
>
>
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